In good news for local tourism operators, the Centre for Aviation (CAPA) predicts Australian domestic air capacity will reach 55% of 2019 levels by the October school holidays and 74% just before the Christmas break.

CAPA’s Chairman Emeritus, Peter Harbison said Australia is well positioned to suppress the “first wave” of COVID-19 and that bodes well for a rebound in domestic tourism.

“If this continues and we avoid a second outbreak, the Australian domestic air market could see some signs of life by mid-year and a steady improvement by Christmas-2020,” he said.

“However, we don’t expect to see 2019 levels of domestic flying reached again this year.

“International will be hit harder and potentially take multiple years to recover. However this will be to the benefit of the domestic market – potentially also embracing trans Tasman operations”.

CAPA used its Air Capacity Model to make the predictions.

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